Behm says the impact on Australia of a war with China would be "profoundly and devastatingly different" from any other war this country has participated in since World War II. Six large amphibious vessels have been launched, three since 2015, and a third aircraft carrier, larger than its predecessors, will soon be completed. of Strategic Forum in Canberra, Australia. ", "China began planning in earnest for a potential conflict with the United States over Taiwan after the May 1999 bombing of the Chinese embassy in Belgrade.". "No one can be sure how that war would play out, because there have been no major maritime wars since Japan was defeated in 1945, but by far the most likely outcome would be a costly stalemate in which both sides lost heavily but neither side could secure a decisive, war-wining advantage. Rising tensions or unforeseen circumstances that couldlead to war, however, can sometimes overtake those working for peace. "In a war involving Taiwan, US forces would be deployed over long distances from CONUS [Continental United States]. John Howard says he has no regrets about the war in Iraq or Australia's involvement in it. A successful Chinese invasion of Taiwan would punch a hole in the U.S. and allied chain of defenses in the region, seriously undermining Americas strategic position in the Western Pacific, and would probably cut off U.S. access to world-leading semiconductors and other critical components manufactured in Taiwan. "A cross-strait Invasion would involve a shaping phase to achieve air, land, sea, and cyber superiority. If China chooses to attack the island of Taiwan, the United States could be helpless to stop it. I think the US now accepts it may lose a conflict at least at the conventional level with China.. There are always a few possibilities that the right thing to do is to go to war irrespective of the expectation that we could 'win' whatever that means. Americas military power is very great, but Chinas military power, and especially its capacity to deny its air and sea approaches to US forces, has grown sharply, and is now formidable, Professor White warned. "Australia should use all the means at its disposal to avert a war with China. And hes repeatedly expressed his willingness to go to war to remove it. "If they think the blockade is failing, they may declare victory by pointing to the damage already inflicted or they might escalate to attacking US forces supporting Taiwan. Nationwide News Pty Ltd 2023. With that in mind, I sought the views of four of Australia's most experienced military strategists, with 100 years of high-level military and strategic experience between them,to discuss what joining the US in a war with China could mean for Australians. "The defence of Taiwan is predicated on a Chinese invasion but if China's main effort is not an invasion but a blockade, then what? It has additional radars and air defence weapons on outposts in the South China Sea, which extend its IADS zone out even further, although these latter systems can be destroyed by the US. It runs between the Philippines and Taiwan. Majority of Australians Would Back U.S. in War With China - Newsweek
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